Saturday, December 20, 2014

China: Economy on the Incline, Environment on the Decline – Blog Post 15 - Oct 24

I read the article “Is Your Stomach Too Full?” by Mark Hertsgaard this week and found it eye-opening.  It began by discussing the incredibly poor economic state of China qualitatively, which made the poverty seem more real.  Hertsgaard discussed the lack of shoes in the winter, the ice on the inside walls of homes, the lack of sanitation, and the respiratory problems of the Chinese that have led to a culture of excessive spitting.  All of these descriptions really made it clear that the Chinese do not care much about climate change or the environment.  They care about getting out of poverty, being warm, having some comfort, and having a job.  This makes logical sense.  As shown in Maslow’s hierarchy of needs, basic survival is the most basic need so this needs to be filled before other things are considered important. 
            The article continues on to discuss the electricity and power generation of the Chinese.  In China, electricity is predicted to increase at least seven percent per year, which would require a double in electrical generating capacity every decade.  That would require thirty to sixty new power plants every year, about seventy-five percent of them burning coal.  In addition, the Chinese are not putting many environmental features on their new power plants because of the additional costs.  It is very simple.  A company can build more plants if each plant costs less money to build.  As a result, with the exception of electrostatic precipitators, most plants built do not have scrubbers on them and do not wash the coal. 
            On the bright side, in the 1980s China reduced their energy intensity by focusing on increasing energy efficiency.  They realized that the energy production may not be able to keep up with the rapidly growing economy.  Although China is not likely to cut consumption just for the environment, they may be tempted to increase energy efficiency to save money.  This may be a way to help green the Chinese economy, especially because some studies have shown that replacing the old, inefficient Chinese technologies with new efficient ones could cut China’s energy consumption by forty to fifty percent.  That is a huge decrease, which could help to offset the increase in electricity and other forms of energy usage as the population rises and becomes more modernized.
            Although energy efficiency seems like the easy solution here, it is not.  As the article points out, the Chinese would prefer a power plant that costs $1000 per kilowatt that has 30-45% efficiency compared to a $1400 per kilowatt power plant that has 45% efficiency and removes 90% of the sulfur dioxide and nitrogen oxides.  Energy efficient technologies cost more, and China does not have the time or money to waste when it is trying to expand the number of power plants so that people can be warm. 
            So what could be a possible solution to fixing China’s environmental problems?  China’s environmental problems are not only theirs; they are also the rest of the world’s problems.  China’s development could put the world over the tipping point in regards to climate change.  Is it ethically sound to tell them to stop burning so much coal?  Can the world force them to put scrubbers on their coal power plants or buy more energy efficient technologies?
            I would say that we cannot force these changes on China.  Forcing China to stop burning so much coal or forcing them to put scrubbers or other environmentally-friendly technologies on plants may be taking heat away from the poorest Chinese during the winter, which I do not think is ethically right.  It is not another country’s place to make that decision.  We cannot force China to change its ways. 
            America can do two things in this situation.  The first is that America can try to fix itself before trying to put the blame on developing countries and before trying to restrict what they can do.  The developed countries used fossil fuels to become developed, so they should be trying to clean up themselves before scolding others.  Second, America can give information, advice, and support to developing countries to help them develop sustainably.  We cannot force China to stop using coal or to start using energy efficient products.  We probably cannot even convince them that energy efficient technologies are worth it in the long-term because they care about the short-term right now (much like companies in the United States).  Any technological solution that the United States gives to China probably needs to be at the same price or cheaper than Chinese technologies.  If the technology is efficient enough to payback its extra cost fast enough, the Chinese may consider it. 

For the good of the environment, the United States should consider transferring some environmentally-friendly technologies over to China, just as Japan is with scrubbing technology.  They can do this by providing information about environmentally-friendly technologies or by selling them the environmentally-friendly technologies.  If the developed countries really want to tackle climate change, then they could provide the Chinese with some subsidies to help lower the cost of energy efficient technologies down to the cost of the older technologies, which would make the decision easy for the Chinese.  This subsidy would probably never pass the American legislature, but maybe a non-profit or another country will step up to help bring clean technologies to China and other developing countries in the future by helping to pay for the extra cost.  

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