Today’s society is dependent on
fossil fuels. As page 110 of The Energy Reader shows, about 86% of
the world’s energy usage comes from fossil fuels. As John Michael Greer discussed in “Progress
v Apocalypse,” fossil fuels gave people access to energy to power machines to
do more work for us, which enabled the world’s economies to grow, which enabled
the world’s food production and population to grow. Now that fossil fuels are becoming less
abundant, Greer discusses the two myths that people today currently have. He discusses the myth of progress, which
states that all of human history has been an improvement of the human condition,
and that people can invent their way out of the problems of a limited
world. The other, much more pessimistic view
is that people have been heading downwards since farming began and that
civilization is heading towards a complete and utter crash. Greer argues that neither of these myths is
really accurate because the facts show otherwise, and I agree with his predictions. The myth of progress is not true because for
most of human history, the human condition stayed the same. In addition to this, the world’s economy
cannot grow indefinitely on a limited planet.
The myth of apocalypse is also incorrect because the decline of fossil
fuels will be slow and dependent on price, not on the actual reserves. Climate change and other negative
environmental effects will also not devastate the planet all at once, but will
gradually if people do not start reducing greenhouse gas emissions soon.
On the other hand, I disagree with
Greer’s idea that the future is headed towards a pre-industrial society similar
to the world before it knew fossil fuels.
I predict that the future will be a good amount different from
pre-industrial society. First of all, in
the past people had used water and wind to generate power, as well as sunlight
to grow crops. Now, new technologies
allow people to access the energy within the ground (geothermal energy), from
the sun to produce electricity and heat, from the wind, from biomass, and maybe
even from other sources as people become more creative. I think that even after the reign of fossil
fuels, people will still have more energy available than pre-industrial
societies because people now understand energy and how to harvest it naturally
from the environment better. Additionally,
I see fossil fuel usage slowing dramatically as prices rise, but never really
being eradicated completely until a new technology is ready to take its spot;
therefore, I do not really see the United States regressing to a pre-industrial
society.
I discussed the key to this
revolutionary change in energy in my last blog post, but will expand on it
here. The third part of The Energy Reader discusses the
different types of energy sources that are around today. Most of the alternative energies listed face
some of the challenges listed by David Fridley, all not seeming suitable to fully
replace fossil fuels. It is not the parts
that matter, but the sum of the parts.
Integrating many alternative energies, all with their own positives and
negatives, is the best answer I can think of for turning around the energy
crisis that is currently developing. The
idea of micropower is an idea that I agree with a lot. Micropower uses the most appropriate local
energy for a certain area. It uses solar
photovoltaics in sunny areas, wind in windy areas, hydropower near rivers and
hopefully in oceans in the future, geothermal near active geothermal sites, and
a various array of other technologies where they are most effective. This local scale energy production is
beneficial because it reduces the distance energy sources must travel, is more
sustainable for many of the alternative energies because it generally pollutes
less, and is many times more efficient because electricity is not lost
throughout long power lines. If
alternative energy is used in this way, it may be able to phase out fossil
fuels much faster than people think. For
example, industrial wind energy has the potential to generate a megawatt or two
of energy for one wind turbine. That is
incredible! A few turbines could power a
small city for years and years, with only repair costs once it is set up.
When looking at the list of energy
sources in Part Three of The Energy
Reader, there is one thing that worries me.
I see plenty of alternative energy sources that generate electricity
that seem viable and close to, if not already, commercially available in some
form. However, I do not see many
alternatives to the gasoline used for cars.
Because fuel for cars needs to be energy dense, it is much harder to
design an alternative energy to replace gasoline because most alternative
energies have low energy densities. The
electric-powered cars and hydrogen-powered cars are possible, but need a lot
more improvements before they really become popular, or even possible. Are there any other solutions to this
problem? A new technological innovation
in this area seems the most necessary, at least in my opinion.
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